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RETURN TO ARCHIVES
CLASSIFIED DOSSIER // DECLASSIFIED

2014-2015 A-Share Leveraged Bull Market Initiation

Capital Req:High
Entry Window:2014-07 to 2014-11
Exit Window:2015-05
Execution Directive:

Max leverage long on Chinese brokerages (e.g. CITIC) and railway construction stocks.

Preparation

  1. Open a margin trading account with a Chinese brokerage (requires 500k RMB minimum). Alternatively, find an OTC margin platform (HOMS system) for higher leverage.
  2. Secure your principal capital and set up a 1:2 to 1:3 leverage ratio.

Execution Steps

  1. Accumulate positions in top-tier brokerages (CITIC Securities) and state-owned rail companies (CSR and CNR) between July and Nov 2014 as the market bottoms near 2000 points.
  2. Nov 21, 2014: The PBOC cuts rates. When the market opens, brokerage stocks hit limit up consecutively for weeks.
  3. Hold firmly and let profits run. Roll floating profits into more leverage. Ride the "Internet Plus" tech bubble in early 2015.

Exit Strategy

  1. By May 2015, as the index breaches 4500 and heads to 5000, market euphoria reaches peak insanity.
  2. The government signals a crackdown on OTC margin trading. Liquidate all positions and pay off all margin debt between late May and early June 2015 (near 5100 points).
  3. Withdraw cash immediately before the devastating June 12 crash triggers thousands of limit-downs.