Google IPO (GOOG)
Capital Req:capital_medium
Entry Window:2004-08 to 2004-12
Exit Window:2021-11
Execution Directive:
Buy GOOG heavily at or near the $85 IPO price.
Preparation
- Have a US brokerage account loaded with USD.
- Ignore traditional finance media (like the WSJ or Barron's) criticizing Larry Page and Sergey Brin for their "arrogant" Founders' Letter and the Dutch auction IPO pricing mechanism.
Execution Steps
- Accumulate: On August 19, 2004, due to Wall Street's boycott, the stock opened around $100 and consolidated between $100 and $170 for months. Buy aggressively (Ticker: GOOG).
- Recognize the Moat: Understand that Google isn't just monopolizing search; they will soon execute the greatest acquisition in tech history (YouTube for $1.65B in 2006) and launch Android in 2007, locking down the mobile internet gate.
- Long-Term Hold: The tech bull market will last for over a decade. Hold the stock with zero margin/leverage so you don't get liquidated during the 2008 Global Financial Crisis.
Exit Strategy
- This is a fortress asset. You can hold it indefinitely as the core of your US equity portfolio.
- If you want to realize gains, late 2021 (the historical peak of the Nasdaq during the COVID-era tech bubble) offers a perfect exit window.
- Alternatively, hold through to the 2024 AI boom to harvest massive split-adjusted, multi-hundred-bagger returns.